Aon Political Risk Map: Political Stability Next Victim of Credit Crunch
2009 will see the political consequences of the global credit crunch start to have an impact, according to the 16th annual Political Risk Map from Aon Risk Services, a division of Aon Corporation.
Miles Johnstone, director of Aon’s Political Risk team, explained: “This year’s map reflects how the impact of the credit crunch is shifting from being an economic problem to a political problem. When an economy is in downturn, the government has less resource available to deal with issues when they arise, potentially leading to political instability.
“We are seeing this particularly in several Eastern European countries, as well as Iceland and Greece, where there is a rise in exchange transfer and sovereign non-payment risk as well as an increase in widespread protests and street disturbances.”
Aon ranked the political risk of 209 countries and territories, measuring risk of currency inconvertibility and transfer; strikes, riots and civil commotion; war; terrorism; sovereign non-payment; political interference; supply chain interruption; legal and regulatory risk. The risk in each country was ranked as Low, Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, High or Very High. A country with an “elevated” risk is defined as any country with a risk ranked at Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, High or Very High.
The results of the analysis are detailed on the 2009 Political Risk Map, produced by Aon Risk Services in partnership with Oxford Analytica, an international consulting firm. Oxford Analytica draws its analysis from a global network of more than 1,000 experts — including senior faculty members at Oxford University and at major research institutions worldwide — to make independent judgments about geopolitical risk.
See Aon Political Risk Map: Political Stability Next Victim of Credit Crunch. Registration is required.
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