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by  Computer Site Engineering, Inc.

Utilities Have Not Made Necessary Upgrades to Prevent Further Power-Grid Degradation

Power outages and fluctuations that occurred in some areas of the United States last summer are a disturbing indicator of declining electric-supply reliability. According to a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) study released in January 2000, electric-utility deregulation has resulted in a significant degradation in North America's electricity-supply system reliability during peak usage periods. The study focuses on eight "power reliability events" (both power outages and severe voltage fluctuations) that occurred primarily in . the Northeast and also in Chicago and in south-central states during the summer of 1999.

      Results of the DOE study suggest that such problems may worsen this summer .because utilities have not made necessary, upgrades to prevent power grids from breaking down. Without mandated guidance from regulators, electric-system operators are finding it increasingly difficult to provide acceptable levels of reliability during periods of high demand and also compete in a deregulated marketplace. Deregulation has focused on trading electricity and has largely overlooked the need for grid reserves that provide a public- reliability benefit but don't provide income to their owners.

      Additional concerns needing to be addressed include aging components, timely and accurate maintenance, the disappearance of the industrial capacity required to build/repair major electrical components when they fail, and increasingly inadequate manual dispatching mechanisms for quickly redirecting the flow of power.

      The electricity grids that serve the U.S. and Canada continue to use relatively small regional interconnections that rely on voluntary controls to back up utility system during periods of peak use. With electric utilities joining the competitive market, long-established arrangements that have provided reliable electricity in the past are now being challenged. If one part of the regional interconnection grid experiences major disturbances, the effect is likely to spread throughout that interconnection and can also ripple into adjacent regional systems.

Reserves are declining
In a regulated environment, all customers pay for the inefficiency of spinning reserve, which is the portion of system generation capacity. that is running or "spinning" but not generating power that can be sold to defray the cost of equipment operation. In the event of a fault or heavy surge in demand, this idling capacity can be brought on line simply by applying more fuel. The instantaneous ability to convert. spinning reserve to generation helps stabilize system performance and is an important predictor of supply-system reliability. Only thirty years ago, spinning reserves in the range of 25% to 30% were not uncommon.

      In a deregulated environment, spinning reserves that do not produce electricity are considered a luxury and a loss of revenue. And so are operating reserves, which are defined as standby generation capacity that can be brought on line within 15 minutes. Unless government regulations require a minimal percentage of reserve, operators will be motivated to run systems as close to maximum capacity as possible, with no spinning or operating reserve.

      In this growing economy, the demand for reliable electricity is also increasing. And while the electric-utility industry is now undergoing the transition to a competitive marketplace, the regulations and operating standards needed to maintain an acceptable level of system reliability have not yet been established.

The full DOE report, Interim Report of the U.S. Department of Energy's Power Outage Study Team, is available at http://tis.eh.doe.gov/post.

Article ©2000, Computersite Engineering Inc.. www.upsite.com. Computersite Engineering is a nationally recognized, technically competent, management consulting firm specializing in research-based design, diagnostics and operation of high performance data center infrastructure. All rights reserved.

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