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by  Philp Jan Rothstein, FBCI

For residents and businesses in the northeastern United States, with the possible exception of snowplow operators, the winter of 1995-96 was a bummer. Curiously, from the business continuity perspective recurring, disagreeable weather (as opposed to short-term, extreme weather such as tornadoes, hurricanes or blizzards) does not seem to fall into the 'disaster' category.

What is a 'disaster,' anyway? It is any event which substantially disrupts 'business as usual.' Fires, earthquakes, power failures, extended computer outages or network failures are, in general, no-brainers when it comes to identifiable disaster causes. The past winter, on the other hand, brought one humongous storm preceded and followed by 'only' harsh storms, icing, and other less than desirable conditions. Curiously, despite near-record snow accumulations, ski resort businesses in the region were apparently affected adversely by the storms which seemed to appear almost every Friday, preventing skiers from getting to the slopes on prime ski weekends. Talk about your 'no-win' situation!

Looking Back
Management executives of one consulting client, a medium-sized manufacturing company, had the insight to examine the overall impact of this past winter on their business. They had based their continuity program on a business impact assessment which concluded that they could reasonably tolerate an outage generally up to two business days without substantial impact. When they looked back at this past winter, they discovered some interesting facts which caused them to reexamine their assumptions:

  1. On seven separate occasions, they had met their explicit criteria for declaring a disaster and had not done so;

  2. On three occasions, there was direct, bottom-line dollar impact in the mid- to high-five figures; and,

  3. Aggregate dollar losses directly attributable to yucchy weather approached one million dollars within a sixty-day period.

Looking deeper, they discovered several contributing factors which they had not previously considered 'disaster' related:

  1. Quantifiable lost productivity directly attributable to storm days or early dismissals was dwarfed by easily overlooked, indirect productivity losses such as re-doing project plans; rescheduling meetings; revising commitments; a rise in sick and personal days; employees talking about (or worrying about) the weather instead of their work; and, re-doing work which became obsolete because of weather delays.

  2. The only time their contingency plan was explicitly consulted in the course of the winter was in early January when the staff business continuity planner was snowed in at home by the biggest storm of the season and wisely decided to sit down and read over the plan rather than to shovel his driveway.

  3. Overtime made necessary more than a month after the worst of the storms cost the company over $100,000 additional.

In considering productivity loss, morale is a factor which should not be ignored - a senior manager in this company observed that many employees seemed lethargic and unfocused which he attributed in part to 'cabin fever.' She noted half-jokingly yet painfully accurate that her impression was that the entire company was "...in a funk" and exhibited many characteristics which, in an individual, could be considered symptoms of clinical depression. Keeping in mind that this particular company is somewhat enlightened and sophisticated in addressing business continuity, what can the rest of us learn from their situation (aside from moving to a warmer climate)?

  1. A 'disaster' can sneak up on you and your organization - it does not always grab your attention; some 'disasters' are only recognizable in hindsight.

  2. A contingency plan - and, in particular the plan's activation criteria - must be flexible enough to address circumstances which had not even been considered when the plan was designed or tested.

  3. The disaster declaration process needs checks and balances to ensure that the organization does not fall into the trap of denial. In assessing business impact, the indirect and intangible losses may far outweigh direct losses.

Here's hoping for a warm and sunny summer!

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